At
the
end
of
the
BVR
blitz
on
8
February
2018,
Bulawayo
retained
the
lowest
voter
registration,
with
58.8%
-‐
the
only
province
with
less
than
a
60%
registration
-‐
followed
by
Harare
with
62.3%.
Matabeleland
South
and
Mashonaland
Central
were
the
only
other
provinces
to
fail
to
reach
a
70%
or
more
registration
turnout.
The
three
Matabeleland
provinces
combined,
total
fewer
than
800,000
registered
voters.
The
total
registered
number,
with
some
outlying
centres
still
to
report
back
to
ZEC,
was
5,264,674.
This
is
72.9%
of
people
projected
to
be
of
voting
age,
and
represents
a
very
good
registration
overall,
considering
the
slow
start.
The
registration
process
has
not
now
been
closed,
but
those
wishing
to
register
will
have
to
find
the
district
registration
point
as
opposed
to
being
able
to
register
at
the
ward
level.
The
three
Matabeleland
provinces
are
��officially
referred
to
as
having
around
15%
of
the
population
of
Zimbabwe,
and
their
total
of
800,000
voters
out
of
5,300,000
indeed
represents
15%
of
the
possible
vote.
Matabeleland’s
potential
vote
is,
however,
largely
bolstered
by
Matabeleland
North,
which
had
the
second
highest
registration
of
81.4%,
which
is
22%
higher
than
neighbouring
Bulawayo.
Even
so,
Matabeleland
North
barely
achieved
300,000
registered
voters
–
just
more
than
half
the
next
lowest
province,
Mashonaland
West.
The
high
turnout
of
people
to
register
in
Matabeleland
North
is
anomalous.
Politically,
it
has
not
shown
a
different
voting
pattern
to
Bulawayo
and
Matabeleland
South
in
the
last
20
–
or
37
-‐
years.
This
deserves
further
inquiry
–
one
possibility
is
that
the
population
figures
for
Matabeleland
North
have
been
under-‐estimated,
meaning
that
the
registration
numbers,
if
set
against
the
actual
population,
would
be
lower.
Our
observation
on
the
ground
and
knowledge
of
communities
in
Matabeleland
South
and
North
suggests
that
Matabeleland
South
and
Bulawayo
have
been
more
adversely
affected
by
the
issue
of
circular
migration,
with
villagers
in
Matabeleland
North
being
more
strongly
rooted
to
where
they
are.
It
was
also
our
observation
that
ZANU
PF
was
extremely
active
in
mobilizing
voters
in
Matabeleland
North,
with
very
visible
gatherings
promoting
registration,
and
this
was
less
observed
by
us
in
Matabeleland
South.
Certainly,
the
offence
of
being
forced
to
surrender
BVR
codes
to
the
ZANU
PF
committees
set
up
for
this
purpose
came
primarily
from
Matabeleland
North
rather
than
from
Matabeleland
South.95
However,
these
are
simply
suggestions
that
require
further
observations,
to
provide
more
insight
into
why
Matabeleland
North
seems
to
behave
differently
to
the
two
adjacent
Matabeleland
provinces
over
BVR.
Implications
of
poor
registration
figures
in
Bulawayo,
Matabeleland
South
and
Harare.
There
are
two
possible
reasons
for
the
low
BVR
uptake
in
Bulawayo,
Matabeleland
South
and
Harare:
apathy,
or
depopulation.
Bulawayo
and
Matabeleland
South
in
particular
are
deeply
affected
by
the
‘circular
migration’
referred
to
earlier,
and
as
the
economy
has
worsened,
it
is
not
unlikely
that
more
and
more
people
are
being
forced
to
spend
at
least
part
of
each
year
abroad
looking
for
income.
This
is
a
highly
contentious
and
difficult
to
resolve
issue,
with
the
Bulawayo
City
Council,
for
example,
arguing
fiercely
that
the
city
has
more
than
the
750,000
residents
counted
by
��
95
This
was
also
common
in
other
provinces,
but
this
report
is
focused
on
the
Matabeleland
provinces,
where
the
authors
have
personal
knowledge
through
personal
monitoring.
33
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