CRS-21
Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank’s International Development Association
(IDA) because it is in arrears to those institutions for debt payments.
Policy Options93
Diplomatic Pressure. Certain countries, including the United States, have
already declared the Mugabe Administration illegitimate. Some have suggested that
these governments should officially recognize Tsvangirai as President, and allow him
to establish a government in exile. According to reports, though, authorities have
confiscated his passport, and he may have difficulty leaving the country.
Many analysts suggest that the SADC governments may have the greatest
leverage with the Mugabe Administration, but that international support for their
efforts could prove helpful. The MDC and others have called for the United Nations
to deploy human rights monitors to investigate the ongoing violence. Although
South Africa and SADC have already deployed inquiry teams, the presence of U.N.
monitors could be influential. The U.N. Security Council is considering the
appointment of a special envoy to Zimbabwe, although results from the appointment
of such an envoy in 2005 were limited.94 Nevertheless, as recent developments in the
region have shown, President Mugabe’s allies within the international community
appear less willing to publicly support his government than in the past. Some
analysts have suggested that the United States should take greater initiative to expose
external sources of support for the government of Zimbabwe.95
Diplomatic efforts toward Zimbabwe may progress toward one of three possible
outcomes.96 Some have suggested that the United States, and others, should push
unequivocally for Mugabe’s exit, preferably through diplomacy aimed at Southern
93
There have been a number of studies conducted on policy options to re-engage Zimbabwe,
including, Michelle D. Gavin, Planning for Post-Mugabe Zimbabwe, Council on Foreign
Relations (CFR) Special Report No. 31, October 2007; Todd Moss and Stewart Patrick, The
Day After Comrade Bob: Applying Post-Conflict Recovery Lessons to Zimbabwe, Center for
Global Development Working Paper no. 72, December 2005; and “After Mugabe: Applying
Post-Conflict Recovery Lessons to Zimbabwe,” Africa Policy Journal, John F. Kennedy
School of Government, Harvard University, vol. 1, Spring 2006.
94
In 2005, the Zimbabwean government implemented Murambatsvina, a massive demolition
program aimed at allegedly illegal urban structures, which rendered over 700,000 homeless.
Then-Secretary-General Kofi Annan named Tanzanian-born Anna Tibaijuka, Executive
Director of UN-HABITAT, as the U.N. Special Envoy on Human Settlements Issues in
Zimbabwe to investigate the humanitarian impact of the demolitions. The presentation of
her report to the U.N. Security Council stirred controversy and China, Algeria, Benin, and
Russia objected to debate on it. The majority of Security Council members voted to allow
its discussion, albeit in a closed session. Many observers suggest the Zimbabwean
government did little to respond to the U.N. envoy’s recommendations.
95
96
Gavin, Planning for Post-Mugabe Zimbabwe, CFR Special Report No. 31, October 2007.
Further discussion of these outcomes may be found in ICG, “Negotiating Zimbabwe’s
Transition,” Africa Briefing No. 51, May 21, 2008.
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