image. MDC-T supporters feel that their party has not been getting the credit it deserves for its contribution to the IG. In the political context it has also been evident that the MDC-T has been less able to be effective as party and as government partner. Its leadership resources have been stressed. It remains possible, nevertheless, that the MDC-T retains substantial levels of hidden support in the ranks of the 42% of non-declarants. In addition, in the past year Zimbabwe has moved through a relatively ‘reconstructive with modest levels of violence’ phase. This is likely to have impacted positively on ZANU-PF. It has been receiving some credit for operating in the IG, and, given the non-electoral phase, it has been possible to moderate its coercive repertoires – possibly with support effects. The current survey contained items which can be used as alternative measures. These measures show that the support levels for the two main parties are probably quite accurate (see below). 5.1 Main party support trends – declared support Analyses of party support in Zimbabwe thus suffer from widespread non-declaration [Q78]. The survey, like preceding MPOI polls conducted in Zimbabwe, elicited high rates of non-declaration (42% in the case of the current 2010 survey). The 42% offered their answers in the categories of ‘will not vote’, ‘my vote is my secret’, ‘refuse’, ‘don’t know’ or ‘not sure’ (Table 15). MDC-T ZANU-PF MDC-M ZAPU-Dabengwa Other Undeclared* TOTAL** Table 15: Trends in declared party support – 2009 and 2010 Party Stated vote choice 2009 (%) 55 12 1 0 2 31 100 Stated vote choice 2010 (%) 38 (38.1) 17 (17.3) 1 (0.8) 1 (0.8) 1 (1.4) 42 (41.6) 100 Question: ‘If parliamentary elections were held tomorrow, which party’s candidate would you vote for?’[Q78] * Represents the combination of ‘my vote is my secret’ (22.4%), refuse (8%), don’t know / not sure (3.3%), will not vote (7.9%). Corresponding percentages in the 2009 survey were: refuse (23%), don’t know (2%) will not vote (6%) ** Total excludes the minor categories of ‘other parties’ The MDC-T, according to this poll, enjoys by far (despite having declined) the highest level of declared vote support. ZANU-PF follows with less than half of the declared support than that of the MDC-T, and the MDC-M demonstrates a likely case of implosion of support. Its support is on par with that of ZAPUDabengwa (both on 0.8%). 46