other studies done in the country (Zimstat, 2009). The mathematical formula is appropriate
because the population of Zimbabwe over years has shown to continuously increase and
following closely a geometric pattern (Mandishona, 1987). For this particular exercise, the
geometric formula allowed ZESN to conduct a ward-by-ward projection of the Zimbabwean
voting population for 2018.
The 2012 population census data was used as the base population to project the 2017 and
2018 voting population. Thus, the 2018 projections were calculated using the following
geometric formula:
R = Pt*(1+r)^n
Pt = base population (last census)
R = is the growth rate
N = number of years after the base year
The projections in this paper are presented in tables according to district and gender. The
accompanying excel document provides additional ward and age based categorization of
the same populations in all the districts. Census and Survey Processing System (CSPro), a
statistical data processing software package, was used for the production of the tables in
the current report (see consolidated data in the excel document).
2018 Population Projections by Ward and Gender
The tables in this section contain ward based population projections for Zimbabwean citizens
who will be 18 years and above in 2018 and therefore eligible to vote. Generally, populations
for all the districts and wards across Zimbabwe are projected to have increased considerably
in 2018.
© Zimbabwe Election Support Network 2017
4