that between civilian-institutional regimes and state-created transitions, and militaryinstitutional regimes and negotiated (regime-led) transitions (see Appendix 1).
It is evident, as seen in Figure 1(below), that change happens very slowly, and that, over the
nine years since 2006, the Freedom House designation of a country changes very little.
Whether Free, Partly Free or Not Free, this designation has changed little over the decade,
and there is even a small trend for the Partly Free countries to be worsening, and a tiny trend
for the Not Free to be improving.
As pointed out above, amnesty was more frequent in pre-transition than in post-transition, but
not significantly so. This suggests that amnesties are used in different ways pre and posttransition: pre-transition they are a device to make transition happen, but post-transition they
operate to protect the transition. There are no relations between amnesty, either pre or posttransition, and whether the country is free, partly free, or not free. Clearly the consolidation
of democracy depends on much more than mere amnesty: amnesty probably facilitates
transition, but does not guarantee it.
Figure 1: Freedom status, 2006 to 2014
60
50
40
Partly Free
30
Not Free
20
Free
10
0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Since African countries were reported to still rank mostly amongst the Partly Free or Not
Free countries on the Freedom House Democracy Index (Table 6 below), a contrast was then
made between African countries in the data base and the rest of the world. As can be seen in
Table 8 (over), authoritarian regimes in African countries had a preponderance of
individualised regimes, either civilian-institutional, such as Zimbabwe, or militaryinstitutional, such as Ghana.
4.2 Comparing Africa with the rest of the world:
For this comparison, the sample was reduced from 59 countries to 47 by removing all
countries that had not transitioned after 198812 . One of the findings from the analysis above
was that African countries in this sample were rated not free more frequently than the
countries from the rest of the world in the period 2006 to 2014, according to Freedom House
(Table 7 .
12
Argentina, Brazil, Ecuador, El Salvador, Greece, Guatemala, Honduras, Portugal, Spain, Turkey, Uganda, and
Uruguay
16
Select target paragraph3
Add to table of contents