ZESN Polling Station Analysis Chart 1 shows the estimated number of eligible voters per polling station for 1,9602 of 1,964 wards grouped by province and local government authority (LGA). For 92% of all wards (1,807 of 1964) the estimated number of eligible voters per polling station is 1,250 or less. There are some very notable outliers with very high estimated eligible voters per polling station. In this regard, Epworth Local Board Ward 7 is most problematic. It has an estimated 22,628 eligible votes but had only one polling station for the 2013 Constitutional Referendum. Other wards with very high estimated eligible voters per polling station are: Beitbridge Town Council wards 4, 5 & 6; Bindura Municipality Ward 12; Epworth Local Board wards 1 & 4 (in addition to Ward 7 previously mentioned); Harare Municipality Ward 45; and Ruwa Local Board Ward 8. As noted, urban polling stations can generally accommodate more voters because of higher population densities than rural polling stations and, thus, it is important to analyse urban and rural wards separately. For analysis, the 388 urban wards were divided into four categories based on the estimated eligible voters: 1 to 1,250; 1,251 to 2,000; 2,001 to 3,750 and 3,750 or more. Overall, 73% of urban wards had between 1 and 1,2503 estimated eligible voters implying that they likely do not require a change in the number of polling station for the Harmonised Elections (see Table 3). However, this pattern was very uneven with just 39% of wards in Harare and only 59% of the wards in Bulawayo having between 1 and 1,250 estimated eligible voters per polling station. Critically, ZESN has identified four urban wards to which it draws the particular attention of the ZEC where the estimated number of eligible voters per polling station is very high (more than 3,750). These are Epworth Local Board Ward 7, Beitbridge Town Council Ward 6, Beitbridge Town Council Ward 4 and Bindura Municipality Ward 12. These are areas where there has clearly been a significant movement of populations and where ZEC should establish significantly more polling stations for citizens to have an equal and reasonable opportunity to vote in the Harmonised Elections. In addition, there are 19 urban wards where the estimated number of eligible voters is high (between 2,501 and 3,750). While not as extreme, these are also Wards where the ZEC should increase the number of polling stations in advance of the Harmonised Elections. Finally, there are 81 urban wards where the estimated number of eligible voters is between 1,250 and 2,500 where ZEC may need to increase the number of polling stations in advance of the Harmonised Elections. The 1,576 rural wards were, similar to the urban wards, also divided into four categories based on eligible voters for analysis4. However, reflecting that rural polling stations can generally accommodate fewer voters than urban polling stations lower thresholds were used: 1 to 1,000; 1,001 to 1,500; 1,501 to 2,000; and 2,000 or more. Overall, 92% of rural wards had between 1 and 2 3 4 Polling stations for four wards were inadvertently not included in either the initial list of 9,449 polling stations or the final list of 9,456 polling stations and hence cannot be included in this analysis. Those wards are: Mazowe RDC Ward 28, Mbire RDC Ward 6, Mbire RDC Ward 14 and Matobo RDC Ward 20. This does not imply urban polling station will have to process 1,250 individuals on election day. Registered voters will be less than estimated eligible voters. Less than 100% turnout will further reduce the number of voters. If registration is 80% and turnout is 60% the effective number of voters on election day will be 600 or less. Note that the Census defines Harare Muncipality Ward 1 (which comprises Harare South Constituency) as rural. This analysis follows the Census definition. 5 of 19