strategy; the need to reconnect with civil society; dysfunctional provincial structures; the
need for a new paradigm; lack of party discipline; the need to discard idioms and
mannerisms that alienated the support base; transform from a movement to a political
party; need to deliver and show difference of performance in local governance.68 All these
issues point to a party that has not been able to strengthen its organizational and strategic
framework against a repressive regime that has constantly harassed its leadership and
structures. However, since 2009 these weaknesses have eroded the support of both MDCs,
as was evident from opinion polls carried out in 2012, which showed a drop in support for
the MDCs and Tsvangirai and an upsurge in popularity for Mugabe and his party.69 These
weaknesses and, of particular importance to the election campaign, the failure of the two
MDC formations to develop an electoral pact in 2013, resulted in the loss of several seats to
ZANU PF due to a split vote. For example in Matabeleland South, 8 of the 13 seats were lost
to ZANU PF because of the this factor, while in Matabeleland North a united opposition
would have won 11 of the 13 seats instead of which ZANU PF won 7 out of the 13. Together
these factors meant that the MDCs were a much weaker force in 2013 than they were in
2008.
Regional and International Factors
For SADC, and South Africa in particular, the major priority in settling the Zimbabwean
crisis was to ensure stabilization, not democratization.70 In practice this meant that despite
the persistent calls from the regional body and the SA facilitation team for the full
implementation of the GPA prior to elections, there was little evidence, beyond diplomatic
exhortations, that the organization was willing or able to take further actions. Thus, in the
face of ZANU PF’s unwillingness to fully implement the GPA reforms, SADC eventually
settled for minimal electoral reforms, a new constitution, and the absence of the levels of
violence that marred the 2008 elections. Guided by liberation solidarity with ZANU PF and
the need to stabilise the political situation with the support of political‐military
establishment in Zimbabwe, Zuma blinked in the face of Mugabe’s humiliating affront to
South Africa, and SADC took what can only be described as a supine position on the
electoral outcome. The MDC‐T’s comment on the SADC election report clearly expressed its
dissatisfaction with the regional position:
68 MDC: NSC Strategic Planning Retreat, Harare, 12 September 2013.
69 See Freedom House, ‘Change and “New” Politics in Zimbabwe,’ Harare, 18 August 2012.
70 For a fuller discussion of this see B.Raftopoulos, ‘An Overview of the GPA,’ op cit 2009.
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