day following the survey. The comparative figure for ZANU‐PF was 31% and 36% in the category of the
‘Secreters’. A similar trend was manifested for the 26‐35 year olds. Here the MDC‐T got 24% and ZANU‐
PF 29%, while 35% in this age category declared that their vote was their secret.
Further demographic breakdowns show that of those who are registered 51% are women and 49% men;
and 35% or the registered voters are in urban areas (with the balance of 65% in the rural areas).
Growing expectations of free and��fair elections
Zimbabweans have had many traumatic experiences with elections … yet optimism rules. The 2012
wave of optimism is at least partially rooted in that Zimbabweans have experienced somewhat lessened
levels of political oppression and politically‐related personal violence in recent times.
A total of 35% in this survey (compared with 16% in 2010; Table 13) now believe that the next round of
elections will be completely free and fair. This category of responses has largely fed off the grouping
that had previously expected major problems in an election that would hardly amount to free and fair.
In a direct comparison (middle section of Table 16) 55% and 57% now believe that the 2012 elections
will be more free and fair than those of March and June 2008, respectively.
Table 16:
Expectations of ‘free and fair’ for the next round of Zimbabwean elections
How free and fair do you expect the next general elections to be? (%)
Not free & fair at all
Hardly free & fair, major
Free & fair with minor
Completely free & fair
problems
problems
2010
2012
2010
2012
2010
2012
2010
2012
10
16
25
12
30
32
16
35
Compared with March 2008, the next round of elections will be … (%)
More free & fair
Less free & fair
No difference
2010
2012
2010
2012
2010
2012
43
55
15
13
24
13
Compared with June 2008, the next round of elections will be … (%)
More free & fair
Less free & fair
No difference
2010
2012
2010
2012
2010
2012
46
57
17
13
19
10
Note: Table does not report on ‘don’t know’ or ‘refuse’ responses. Based on Q50A‐C, 2012.
Row percentage analysis shows comparable trends on beliefs in the free and fairness of the next
elections between the ‘Secreters’ and supporters of ZANU‐PF. Of those who believe that the next
elections will be completely free and fair, 45% are ZANU‐PF supporters and 32% ‘Secreters’. Only 16% of
the MDC‐T supporters share this belief. The single biggest block for the MDC‐T is its 39% that reckon
36
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