An in-depth Study on the impacts of Operation Murambatsvina
Morbidity due to the Gukurahundi has also received some attention. One small study in
Gwanda District indicated that 5 adults in 10, over the age of 18 years, were suffering from
significant psychological disorders, with over 90% of the sample reporting an experience
with organized violence and torturexxiii. The majority of these experiences dated from the
1980s rather than the Liberation War.
There is no reliable estimate of the morbidity due to the violence occasioned by the Food
Riots in 1998. At the time the Zimbabwe Republic Police estimated that over 3,000 persons
had been arrested, and the Human Rights NGO Forum was able to obtain data on 1,431
cases of persons who had been arrested. Only 44 persons eventually elected to report to the
Forum, but 36% were diagnosed as having clinically significant psychological disorders. It is
clearly inappropriate to extrapolate from such a small sample, but it is probable that the
numbers affected were significantxxiv.
Finally, there has been an epidemic of organized violence and torture since February 2000,
and this is attested to by a vast outpouring of reports since that time. Very few studies have
been done on the victims, and certainly no proper epidemiological studies. There are two
indicative studies, however. The first, examining internally-displaced commercial farm
workers, demonstrated that 85% of the sample were suffering clinically significant
psychological disordersxxv, whilst the second, a “snap survey” of Zimbabwean refugees in
Johannesburg, Gauteng, indicated a point prevalence rate of 14% in the samplexxvi.
These latter two studies are important for the purposes of understanding the effects of
Operation Murambatsvina since they examine populations of displaced persons. Estimates of
psychological disorders due to trauma are understandably much higher amongst refugees or
internally displaced persons than they are in the general population, as they are in specific
populations such as those living in complex emergencies such as civil wars, or low intensity
conflicts. Estimates for the rates of psychological disorder are available for all such groups in
Zimbabwe, as well as for the rates of psychological disorder in the general population.
As the studies demonstrate, the prevalence rates vary widely according to the population
sampled. In studies of persons attending primary care facilities, estimates of morbidity are
generally in the range of 20-30% of the total clinic populationxxvii. These were figures taken
during the late 1980s and the 1990s, and provide a base rate for the prevalence of
psychological disorder in times of “peace” and relative economic stability. Studies of the
victims of organized violence and torture also vary, as we have described above, depending
on the scale of the violence. Clearly, studies of populations of victims – war veterans,
Mozambican refugees, or displaced commercial farm workers – show much higher rates.
So which profile will fit the victims of Operation Murambatsvina? And here we must remember
our earlier comments in respect of trauma generally: that the probability of displaying a
significant psychological disorder will vary according to the type of trauma and the number
of exposures to trauma.
7
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