6.4 Expectations of ‘free and fair’ future elections
Respondents accept that political parties routinely incorporate violence into their repertoires. There was
no clear-cut sense that elections in 2011 (or later in the pending cycle) are realistically expected to
deliver a violence-free political world. 55% of the respondents reckoned that the next round of elections
would either be ‘hardly free and fair with major problems’ (25%), or ‘free and fair, with minor problems’
(30%). The roughly even split is complemented by 10% believing the elections will ‘not be free and fair at
all’ – and only 16% trusting that they will be ‘completely free and fair’ (Table 18) [Q16A].
A comparatively higher level of optimism emerged in positioning forthcoming elections against
the 2008 electoral background. 43% reckon the next round of elections will be more free and
fair than the March 2008 elections, and 46% hope that they will be an improvement on the June
2008 elections [Q16B; Q16C].
Table 18:
Expectations of ‘free and fair’ for the next round of Zimbabwean elections
(All figures represent percentages)
How free and fair do you expect the next general elections to be?
Not free & fair at all
Hardly free & fair,
Free & fair with minor
Completely free & fair
major problems
problems
10
25
30
16
Compared with March 2008, the next round of elections will be …
More free & fair
Less free & fair
No difference
43
15
24
Compared with June 2008, the next round of elections will be …
More free & fair
Less free & fair
No difference
46
17
19
Note: Table does not report on ‘don’t know’ or ‘refuse’ responses
The survey respondents were probed (in open-ended questions) on what could be done to make the
next round of elections free and fair [Q16D]. The answers were quite obvious. The need to
restrict/eliminate violence and intimidation topped their list. The need to ensure peace in elections
featured in much of these reflections. Their second most important proposed action was to allow
regional and international observers and peacekeeping forces into central positions in the elections. The
respondents also identified the need for the re-professionalisation of the army and police.
These needs were corroborated through responses to a question on what the most important
thing was that needed to change before Zimbabwe could embark on a next round of elections
[Q53A]. Ensuring and maintaining peace and order, guaranteeing freedom of association,
finalising the new constitution and ending political violence constituted the bulk of the ‘most
important things to be done’. Additional prominent factors included the reform of electoral laws
54
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