PART ONE:
PART TWO:
i.
ii.
iii.
iv.
THE END OF A ROAD
CONTENTS
Introduction……………………………………………………………………………………………..
The Constitutional Process………………………………………………………………………..
The Possibility of Regional and International Consensus in the
Interregnum between the Referendum and the Election…………………………….
The Election Process…………………………………………………………………………………
Explaining the Election Results…………………………………………………………………
The Strategies of Zanu PF…………………………………………………………………………
The Limitations of the MDCs…………………………………………………………………….
Regional and International Factors……………………………………………………………
Conclusion……………………………………………………………………………………………….
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UNDERSTANDING THE RESULTS
A.
BACKGROUND TO THE ELECTIONS
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Fear and Coercion…………………………………………………………………………………..
The unlikelihood of justice………………………………………………………………………
Election violations 2013………………………………………………………………………….
Assessing the voting figures…………………………………………………………………….
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B.
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ARE THERE PATTERNS TO BE SEEN?
1. Overall Vote Comparisons……………………���……………………………………………………
i.
General observations …………………………………………………………………………….
ii.
The MDCs and the Vote…………………………………………………………………………..
iii.
ZANU PF and the Vote……………………………………………………………………………..
2. The Presidential Vote 2013…………………………………………………………………………..
i.
Matabeleland: numerically, a shrinking stronghold................................................
3. The Divided Opposition Vote in Matabeleland – and Beyond………………………….
4. Voters Turned Away…………………………………………………………………………………….
5. Assisted Votes………………………………………………………………………………………………
6. Constituencies with More Than 50% Increase in Voters from 2008‐13……………
C.
CONCLUSION
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INDEX OF FIGURES AND TABLES
The report has images of election posters from the 2013 campaign dispersed throughout.
Figure 1: Votes Cast in Five Key Elections since 2000: by Party (x1000)……………………………..
Figure 2: Presidential Vote by Candidate and Province: 2013……………………………………………..
Figure 3: Percentage of voters turned away by Province: 2013……………………………………………
Figure 4: Comparing illiteracy rates (UNESCO) with % assisted votes………………………………….
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