CRS-6
The main MDC faction claimed victory for Tsvangirai days after the election
with over 50 percent of the votes cast, basing its claim on tallies of poll results posted
outside the polling stations and constituency centers immediately following the
elections. Some have differed with the MDC count, suggesting that while Tsvangirai
almost certainly received more votes than Mugabe, he may not have achieved the
necessary 50 percent to avoid a runoff.25 ZESN has noted that results were not posted
in three constituency tabulation centers despite a legal requirement to do so.
The results of the presidential race were not officially announced until five
weeks after the elections. The opposition called for a nationwide strike on April 14
to protest the delayed release of results, asking supporters to stay home rather than
to demonstrate publicly. Dozens of opposition supporters, including a newly elected
member of parliament, were reportedly arrested that day for allegedly trying to incite
violence or for obstructing the freedom of movement. According to reports, the
strike was largely unsuccessful. With over 80 percent unemployment, some analysts
suggest many Zimbabweans could not afford to miss a day’s wages; other
Zimbabweans said they had not heard of the strike.26 On the evening of May 2, the
ZEC declared that Tsvangirai had received 47.9 percent of the votes, while Mugabe
received 43.2 percent and Makoni 8.3 percent. Some in the international community
questioned whether the government’s delay in releasing the presidential results
should be considered a political coup. The MDC appealed unsuccessfully to the
courts to have the results released, but the electoral commission claimed that it could
not do so until a “process of verification of the presidential ballots” was complete.27
Runoff Elections Called. Although the opposition accuses the government
of manipulating the presidential results and initially objected to participating in a
runoff, Morgan Tsvangirai agreed to stand against President Mugabe in a second
round of voting.28 ZESN also questioned the validity of the presidential results,
saying, “ZESN cannot substantiate ZEC figures as the network is not aware of the
chain of custody of the ballot materials during the aforementioned period” and
claiming that the delayed announcement of the presidential results undermined the
impartiality of the ZEC. These concerns were echoed by the United States and others.
Having waited for over a month to hear the final results from the first round of
elections, Zimbabweans faced another significant delay before the second round.
While the electoral law requires the government to hold a runoff within 21 days of
announcing the initial results, the ZEC declared that the runoff would not be held
until June 27, three months after the first round. Some analysts questioned whether
the government could afford another election, estimated to cost up to $60 million.
25
According to ZESN, Tsvangirai received 49.4% of the vote and Mugabe 41.8%.”ZESN
poll projections on March 29 presidential elections,” ZESN press release, March 31, 2008.
26
“Zimbabwe Opposition Strike Fails,” BBC, April 16, 2008.
27
“Opposition Unites Against Mugabe,” Al Jazeera, April 28, 2008.
28
The MDC suggested that the government had access to the ballot boxes for over two
weeks in April without opposition or observer supervision, and thus they could not be sure
the ballots had not been manipulated.