CRS-9
free, fair and credible elections."35 The African Union team echoed the SADC and
PAP findings, declaring that process fell short of accepted AU standards.36
Coalition Government? Prior to the runoff, Zimbabwe’s state-controlled
media sent mixed signals about the regime’s post-election plans. On April 23, the
government-owned Herald newspaper printed an editorial that suggested SADC
should mediate between the parties to create a transitional coalition government, led
by President Mugabe, that would organize new elections.37 The following day the
paper announced on its website that a unity government was “not feasible.”
According to the ICG’s sources, some senior ZANU-PF members, including Vice
President Joyce Mujuru and Reserve Bank governor Gideon Gono, tried to convince
the president to accept a unity government, but were overruled by senior security
officials. Critics allege that the ruling party may now try to exercise influence over
the courts to overturn the MDC’s parliamentary majority. Both parties have
challenged the results of over 50 parliamentary races, and although the new
parliament can be sworn in during the review, the judiciary’s findings could affect
the balance of power in the parliament. Central to ZANU-PF concerns, its critics
assert, are questions regarding immunity for serious human rights abuses committed
since independence. Both parties have issued public statements indicating a
willingness to negotiate, but ZANU-PF says Tsvangirai must acknowledge Mugabe's
victory as a prerequisite. Tsvangirai has refused to do so. Media reports on July 10
suggest the parties have already begun discussions.38 Some believe ZANU-PF had
planned to negotiate even before the runoff, but wanted to enter the talks from a
position of power, with Mugabe having won the second round.
Both domestic and international observers expressed concerns that rising
violence in Zimbabwe was contributing to a climate of fear and intimidation that
might inhibit voters from participating in a runoff election. In early May, the lead
South African delegate in SADC’s observer mission, Ambassador Kingsley
Mamabolo, suggested that the political climate was too violent for a runoff, saying
“You cannot have the next round taking place in this atmosphere; it will not be
helpful.”39 SADC’s Executive Secretary repeated Mamabolo’s findings, “At the
moment we can’t say the playing ground is safe or will be fair.”40 SADC and the AU
announced plans to significantly increase the number of poll observers for the runoff.
35
Interim Statement Presented by the Hon. Marwick Khumalo of the Pan-African Parliament
Observer Mission, issued on June 30, 2008.
36
Preliminary Statement of the African Union Observer Mission, issued on June 29, 2008.
37
“West Should Stop Blocking Zimbabwe’s Way Forward,” The Herald (Harare), April 23,
2008.
38
MDC Secretary General Tendai Biti, who participated in the previous round of talks, has
reportedly had his bail conditions eased so he can attend the talks. "Zimbabwe Rival Parties
Hold Talks," BBC, July 10, 2008.
39
40
“Zimbabwe ‘Too Violent for Poll,’” BBC, May 8, 2008.
“SADC: Zim Not Yet Ready For Fair Vote,” Mail & Guardian (Johannesburg), May 14,
2008.
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