4. Post Election violence: The evidence19 When the Human Right Forum issued its first post-election report, on 5 May 2008,20 it provided evidence from the reports from only 64 persons seen to that time by the Forum’s officers. The second report had access to considerably more evidence upon which to base its conclusions, but dealt only with cases that were reported in April 2008. This second report consisted of the analysis of 477 cases that were complete enough to consider. The current report will deal with all the complete cases seen or reported to the Human Rights Forum between March and May 2008, a total of 610 cases in all. Means, standard deviations, and percentages were calculated, and only statistically significant findings are reported. As can be seen from Table 1, the trend is towards increasing violations since March, which corroborates the findings of the reports by the Solidarity Peace Trust and the Zimbabwe Peace Project, reported above. Table 1 Distribution of cases, March to May 2008 [n=610] March 33 5.4 April 251 41.1 May 326 53.4 The distribution of the cases similarly conforms to the findings of the reports mentioned above, as well as the previous Human Rights Forum report. The majority of the cases came from the three Mashonaland Provinces and Harare, but there were significant changes in the trends over the months [see Figure 1 over]. Significant increases occurred in Bulawayo, Mashonaland Central, Mashonaland East during May,21 but, equally, there were significant drops in reports of violations in Harare and Mashonaland West during the same month. 22 19 20 21 22 Again, this report does not deal with the deaths that have been reported, since few deaths are reported directly to the Forum, and, where deaths are alleged in the reports received by the Forum, it is not in a place to directly confirm of disconfirm them. According to the MDC, 120 of its supporters were killed from the first round of voting on 29 March up to 18 July 2008.30 See again Human Rights Forum (2008), Can the elections in Zimbabwe be Free and Fair? Paper produced by the Research and Advocacy Unit [RAU] for the Human Rights Forum, HARARE: ZIMBABWE HUMAN RIGHTS NGO FORUM. April v May: Bulawayo [p=0.001]; Mashonaland Central [p=0.001]; Mashonaland East [p=0.05]. April v May: Harare [p=0.001]; Mashonaland West [p=0.001].

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