Political parties use violence, and ‘nothing is going to change this’, is believed by 51% [Q58C].
45% (by far the biggest single opinion block) believe that the elections will suffer intervention by
the security forces [Q54C].
38% – by far the biggest single block of opinion – believe that the election will not deliver a clear
presidential winner [Q54E].
43% believe that elections will end power-sharing, but a substantial 23% declare a ‘don’t know’
[Q54G].
46% disagreed with the statement that ‘this time around, there will be nothing to fear’ [Q58B].
Zimbabweans are divided on whether elections will end power-sharing (43%), whilst 23% don’t
know whether it will or not [Q54G].
42% reckon that the counting processes of the election votes will not be transparent; 19% ‘did
not know’ [Q54D].
It is widely believed that the results will not be accepted by all political parties [Q54F].
6.2 Order and timing of constitution-making and elections
Zimbabweans feel strongly (73%) [Q15] that the order of (further) constitution-making and elections
should strictly be: first the finalisation of the constitution and then elections. Only 17% reckoned that
‘elections can be brought forward, whether the new constitution is finalised or not’ [Q15].
The next presidential and parliamentary elections should be held in 2011, is the opinion of 46% of the
survey respondents [Q14]. This is not a majority opinion, but it is by far the largest single opinion block
on the issue (Table 17). If one transfers the 11% that stated in December 2010 that elections needed to
be done ‘immediately’ to 2011, it is roughly 57% that want elections in 2011 – albeit not unconditionally
so in that they first want the draft constitution and referendum that will put the constitution out to
popular verdict.
Immediately
10.6
Immediately
31
Table 17:
Desired timing for the next election, 2010 survey (%)
2011
2012
2013
Other
45.9
8.0
7.8
12.9
Desired timing for the next election, 2009 survey (%)
Within 1 year Within 2 years Within 3 years Within 5 years
25
17
5
15
Don’t know
14.8
Don’t know
7
Question: ‘In your opinion, when should the next presidential and parliamentary elections be held?’ [Q14A]
52
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