Appendix 1 Correlations between types of authoritarian regime and types of transition Civil war Civilian-Individual Civilian-Institutional Military-Individual Military-Institutional State creation Collapse Domestic Overthrow Emergence from Civil War Domestic Overthrow .a Emergence from Civil War .a Foreign Overthrow .a Negotiated regime-led .a .169 .082 -.098 -.098 -.146 .160 .021 -.076 -.153 -.153 .074 -.128 -.090 .146 -.147 .193 -.125 .176 * -.134 CivilianIndividual .a CivilianInstitutional .a MilitaryIndividual .a MilitaryInstitutional .a State creation .a Collapse .a 1 -.281* -.270* -.214 -.114 1 ** ** ** -.172 -.340 1 -.335 -.321* 1 .407 NegotiatedOppositionLed .a -.136 .109 -.214 -.117 .075 .287 1 -.091 -.114 -.062 -.062 -.216 -.129 1 -.143 -.078 -.078 * -.161 ** -.203 1 -.269 -.098 -.098 1 -.054 -.185 -.111 1 -.185 -.111 1 -.383** Foreign Overthrow Negotiated regime-led -.339 ** significant at 0.01 level (two-tailed); * significant at 0.05 level (two-tailed) 53 53