    In 2008, ZANU PF received 1,112,773 votes at House of Assembly level – by far its lowest vote in the last decade. In 2008, Robert Mugabe received 1,079,730 in the Presidential vote. In 2013 in the House of Assembly vote, ZANU PF received 2,142,000 In 2013 Robert Mugabe received 2,110, 434 in the Presidential vote. 13. Comparing the 2013 House of Assembly vote with various previous ZANU PF totals:  The 2013 vote shows: o 27% increase over their 2002 vote o 36% increase over their 2005 vote o 83% increase over their 2008 vote  It could be perceived that the ZANU PF vote was on a downward trajectory prior to this election, with its dramatic gain of 1 million votes.  It could be concluded that the ZANU PF vote in 2008 was anomalously LOW when taken in the context of their other results since 2002.  The 2013 election vote for ZANU PF could be seen as anomalously HIGH (83% jump) when compared only with the 2008 result ‐ but this is less the case when compared to the ZANU PF vote generally over the last decade. 14. In the two Harmonised elections of 2008 and 2013, Mugabe has won fewer votes than ZANU PF has at the House of Assembly level, indicating that some voters who vote for ZANU PF in relation to parliamentary seats, do not vote for Mugabe as their presidential choice. Mugabe is less popular than his party. 2. THE PRESIDENTIAL VOTE 2013 Robert Mugabe won the vote in seven out of ten provinces, with Tsvangirai winning in Harare, Bulawayo and Matabeleland North. ZEC only released global provincial figures. 90 i. Matabeleland: numerically, a shrinking stronghold The largest win for Tsvangirai in terms of percentage of overall provincial vote was in Bulawayo, with Tsvangirai capturing 68%, Welshman Ncube 7.2% and Mugabe 24% of the vote. However, there were almost three times as many votes for Tsvangirai in Harare as in Bulawayo – which serves to highlight one of the notable features of this election, namely the proportionally dwindling number of votes in the three western provinces of Zimbabwe. Matabeleland North, Matabeleland South and Bulawayo showed the lowest provincial voter turnouts countrywide. In many Matabeleland constituencies, voter turnout was between 33 and 41% and the ten lowest constituency voter turnouts were all in Matabeleland.                                                              90 See Appendix 1 for Presidential votes per province.   35