South Mash West Hurungwe 1,399 4,267 305% 4,997 12,708 254% ZANU PF Central Mash West Zvimba 3,554 4,008 113% 5,197 13,113 252% ZANU PF East c.) GENERAL OBSERVATIONS 1. In 16% of constituencies (n = 7/45) with a 50% to 90% increase in voters, MDC‐T won the seat. o Four of these wins were in Bulawayo, and one was in Harare. o The other two were Dangamvurwa in Manicaland, which was won by an MDC‐T Independent, and Hwange Central in Matabeleland North. 2. In 84% of constituencies (n = 38/45) with a 50% to 90% increase in voters, ZANU PF won the seat. Four of these wins were in Harare, in constituencies where ZANU PF had previously lost every election since 2000. 3. In 3% of all 210 constituencies, (n = 6), there was more than a 100% increase in voters, compared to 2008.  Harare South was the only urban constituency with 100%+ increase.  the other 5 were all rural Mashonaland constituencies.  In all of the constituencies (n=6) with a 100%+ increase in voter turnout, ZANU PF won the seat. Analysed in more detail below are the four Bulawayo constituencies and the six Harare constituencies with 50%+ increases in turnout since 2008, plus the 5 constituencies in rural Mashonaland with 100%+ voter increases. Observations of these 15 constituencies110 1. In the majority of constituencies (11 out of 15) where ZANU PF had a large increase in the vote, MDC‐T also had an increase in voters. However, the increase in ZANU PF votes tended to be far greater. 2. In all four Bulawayo constituencies with 50%+ increases: a. ZANU PF’s vote in 2013 ranged between 135% and 370% of the 2008 vote, with an average vote, compared to 2008, of 260% of their previous vote. ie the ZANU PF vote in these constituencies almost trebled. b. The MDC‐T vote in the same four constituencies ranged between 126% and 230% of the 2008 figure, and averaged 172% of the 2008 vote – almost double.                                                              110 As only MDC‐T and ZANU PF won any of these constituencies, their respective votes are compared, without examining the total opposition vote: none of these constituencies was lost to a divided vote. See Appendix 6 for Tables and figures.   49