8. Tsvangirai as a presidential candidate has consistently drawn more votes than his
political party in all elections. This means that some voters are voting for other
parties in the opposition, or for ZANU PF at House of Assembly level, and then
voting for Tsvangirai as their presidential option.89
9. The split in the opposition vote cost the two MDCs 17 seats in the House of
Assembly in 2013 (See below for more details of constituencies). This almost
tripled the 6 seats lost in the House of Assembly in 2008, owing to split votes.
In 2013, these additional 17 seats would have ensured that the balance of
power was less in favour of ZANU PF and would have reduced the
significance of their 2/3 majority to one seat only, as follows:
o Taking the proportional representation seats into account, and
reallocating the 17 seats lost to a split vote to the opposition, the
balance of power in the House of Assembly would have been:
Out of 270 seats
ZANU PF:
180
66.6%
OPPOSITION:
89
33.0%
INDEP (ZPF):
1
0.4%
This would have meant that ZANU PF would have needed a totally full House
to pass any changes to the constitution, for example. As it now stands, they
have a comfortable 34 seats over the 2/3 majority, holding 79% of all seats.
10. A united opposition would have had control of 4 provinces out of ten, instead of only
two. The impact of a divided opposition has taken a heavy toll on MDC‐aligned
representation in government and this has become more marked with each election.
The rise in the ZANU PF vote added to the number of seats lost to a divided vote in
2013, rather than a loss in the combined opposition vote.
ZANU PF and the Vote
11. The ZANU PF vote has shown much greater variation over the five elections than
the MDC vote has.
12. The two largest votes for ZANU PF have been in 2002 and 2013.
In 2002, Robert Mugabe received 1,685,212 presidential votes.
In 2005, ZANU PF received 1,569,867 votes in the Parliamentary vote.
89 Generally in Zimbabwe, voters seem to vote across the board for their one chosen party, rather than voting
depending on caliber of candidates at ward, constituency and presidential level, but clearly there is some
discrimination taking place. In particular, the desire among opposition voters to get rid of Mugabe has led to
voters voting for Tsvangirai as president, while they may support their own small opposition party at other
levels of the vote.
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