1. Background Early marriage is internationally regarded as extremely disadvantageous for the psycho-social and economic development of women, and currently is the subject of a sustained campaign to eradicate this. Early marriage is apparently common in Zimbabwe, although the statistics are unclear and misleading. For example, A UNICEF report argues that 29% of women are married by age 18, and 5% are married by age 152. The Zimbabwe censuses for 2002 and 2012 add more confusion to the picture. As can be seen from Table 1 (below), the census data show an enormous increase in girls married by age 19 between 2002 and 2012, a jump of 20%. Thus, according to the available public data on Zimbabwe, early marriage dropped from 5% in 1999 to about 2% in 2002, and then rose to 22% in 2012. This enormous rise deserves careful examination, more especially since the period between 2002 and 2012 corresponds to dramatic changes in the political economy of Zimbabwe, with consequent impoverishment on a vast scale. Table 1: Percentages of girls aged 15-19, marital status Never Married Married Divorced/ Separated Widowed Not Stated Total Number 2002 Census 98.19% 1.68% 0.10% 0.03% 0.00 736686 2012 Census 74.5% 21.9% 1.6% 0.1% 1.8% 712809 Adding to the difficulty in understanding the prevalence of early marriage, the 2012 Census reports on the prevalence of ages of women at their first live birth do not show the age at which they got married or gave birth to a stillborn child. As can be seen from Table 2, nearly 10% of women were between 15 and 19 years, which presumably has some bearing on the prevalence of early marriage, but this is only inferential. Table 2: Percentage of Women by Age at First Live Birth and Current Age [Source: ZimStat.2012] Age at First Live Birth 15 - 19 20 - 24 25 - 29 30 - 34 35 - 39 40 - 44 45 - 49 [Total: 2226983] Median Age [20.6] 2 Current Age of Woman 15 - 19 9.4 105003 17.5 20 - 24 23.3 18.0 420639 19 25 - 29 21.0 26.4 25.5 517666 20.5 30 - 34 17.1 20.3 27.8 30.0 432412 20.7 35 - 39 13.3 16.6 20.6 30.8 37.3 345414 20.8 40 - 44 8.7 11.3 15.9 22.0 36.7 51.7 235386 21 45 - 49 7.1 7.4 10.2 17.2 26.0 48.3 100.0 170463 20.4 UNICEF (2005) Early Marriage. A Harmful Traditional Practice. A Statistical Exploration New York: United Nations Children’s Fund. 5

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