These assessment trends also prevail in the political domain, where the IG continues to get
credit for reducing political violence and preventing arbitrary arrest. Yet, in contrast with 2010
the survey respondents are now far more critical of the IG’s ability to increase freedom to speak
about political matters openly. A total of 44% now reckon that the IG is doing poorly or very
poorly compared with 9% in 2010. This means that even if respondents presently report higher
levels of freedom from fear, the fear of state violence has not dissipated.
Assessments of the MDC‐T’s role in IG were down at the time of the 2012 FH. The credit it
received for its role in IG through the lens of this survey fell from 52% at the end of 2010 to 15%
in July 2012. It was now on par with ZANU‐PF whose contribution was set at 16%.
Trust in or cynicism of public institutions often converges between the supporters of the two
main parties’ supporters, and for the undeclareds. The comparative ratings of public institutions
reflect the changing 2012 political landscape. Not only is the level of trust for some of the
security forces, including the police, very high –aspects of the practice of IG get credit from
supporters of both the main parties and the undeclareds, agreeing on most of the attributes
that they wish to see in their government. Despite often‐high levels of trust, MDC‐T supporters
are more cynical than their ZANU‐PF counterparts of especially the judiciary and office of the
Attorney General. The undeclareds are favourably disposed towards the judiciary, but more
cynical about the attorney general.
Elections and hope, participation and ‘free and fair’ expectations
Zimbabweans retain their love relationship with elections. They overwhelmingly believe that the
next election (or the next referendum) will be the definitive one that will bring all of the desired
changes to politics and society. A probe of reasons why Zimbabweans say they will vote showed
that 47% (of those that anticipate participating in the next round of elections) give as motivation
that ‘this is the election that will make the difference’. This reason for voting was roughly twice
as prevalent as its closest competitor in the hierarchy of responses.
A total of 35% in this survey (compared with 16% in 2010) now believe that the next round of
elections will be completely free and fair. This category of responses has largely fed off the
grouping that had previously expected major problems. In a direct comparison, 55% and 57%,
respectively, now believe that the 2012 elections will be more free and fair than those of March
and June 2008.
Zimbabweans report experiencing substantially less violence in 2012 than they have in the 2009
and 2010 FH surveys. A total of 50% agree or strongly agree that there is higher freedom in 2012
to express their political views. A smaller proportion statethat just a threat of violence is
sufficient to reinstate fear.
By far the largest block of respondents, 45%, said that the Zimbabwean people will be ready for
elections in the first half of 2013. This makes this a strong endorsement of the 2013 timing of
elections.In 2010 57% had recommended that elections should be held immediately or the
following year; in 2009 56% wished for elections either immediately of ‘within the next year’.
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