The urban group, however, shows diminishing trust in the police over time, dropping in 2005
and a further drop in 2009. Given the role of the police during OM, the first drop in trust
seems obvious, but it is not obvious why the drop in trust continues into 2009 while trust in
the police is restored completely for the rural respondents.
Figure 6: Political Trust – President, Ruling Party,
& Parliament
70
60
Looking at the more
obviously political agents –
President, parliament and
the ruling party – there are
more marked differences
than with the police or the
courts.
50
Trust the President
40
30
Trust Parliament
20
Trust the ruling
party
10
2004
2005
Rural
Urban
Rural
Urban
Rural
Urban
0
2009
Both groups show an increased trust in parliament in 2009 compared with 2004, again
presumably because of the Inclusive Government. But both groups also show diminished
trust over time in the ruling party and some diminution in trust of the President over time.
Trust in the President for both groups does not return, in 2009, to the 2004 levels. It does
appear, therefore, that one possible consequence of OM was a sustained drop in support for
ZANU-PF, which some bearing on the 2008 elections and the party losing its majority in
parliament. The effects of the catastrophic decline in economy must not be discounted as an
additional factor here influencing the outcome of the election.
Political Affiliation
Political trust seems to have been affected by OM (amongst other factors), but how was
explicit political party support affected. As can be seen very clearly from Figure 7 (over), the
effect upon political affiliation was dramatic. There is a clear relationship between the drop in
support for ZANU-PF from the level of 2004, and this was sustained through to 2009. The
effect was found for both rural and urban respondents, with rural folk dropping from 65%
support for ZANU-PF in 2004 down to a mere 17% in 2009: a 48 percentage drop, and this
within the long-standing support base for the party.
11
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