reductions to the Statutory Liquidity Ratio resulting in an increase in money supply, budgetary
reallocations, or a combination of the two. All three scenarios, within a context of chronic budget
deficits, a strained fiscal base and hyperinflation, are potentially problematic and could affect
efforts to curtail inflation and restore budgetary discipline. Many critical observers doubt that
Operation Garikai will actually materialize.
4.3.1
A Questionable Strategy and Questionable Methods
Operation Garikai is based on the scenario that Government will provide stands (plots) upon
which those rendered homeless will build their new homes. This assumption poses several
questions. These include:
q. The capacity of local authorities to provide the access roads, trunk infrastructure and
basic services to enable displaced people to build new homes in compliance with the
Government’s Regional, Town and Country Planning Act;
r. The need for interim solutions between the time of allocation of stands (plots) and the
completion of homes by the affected people in compliance with building bylaws and
standards. For the majority of displaced people, such interim arrangements would
necessarily include temporary shelter/housing solutions that would resemble the
structures and settlement patterns originally targeted by Operation Restore Order;
s. The sourcing of readily available and affordable building materials previously supplied in
part by the informal sector. As the informal sector was the initial target of and largely
destroyed by Operation Restore Order, it will take some time before the supply chain can
be restored. It can also be assumed that prices will rise as a result of the disruptions and
inflationary pressure;
t. The availability of credit facilities to ease the financial burden of the poor and limited
income households to construct new homes. A number of civil society organizations that
have provided such assistance in the past have not made much headway in terms of
dialogue with Government to implement solutions outside the framework of government
channels.
Another consideration and area of concern is the method envisaged by the Government. Senior
government officials, on several occasions, announced that the preparation of stands and related
infrastructure would be carried out by the military assisted by youth brigades. The mission was
able to witness the early stages of capital-intensive preparations in several locations, which raise
the following concerns:
e. While the use of machine and capital-intensive site preparation and construction methods
can speed up implementation, they involve a foreign currency component. Based on past
experience of similar schemes, this component is estimated at 35% to 40%. The first
phase of Operation Garikai would therefore involve USD 35 - 40 million in foreign
exchange which would place a further strain on fuel shortages and foreign currency
reserves;
d. The use of the military and youth building brigades, while also effective in speeding up
site preparation and construction, is inimical to ownership of the product and the process
by the community and by local authorities. Again, according to past experience, such
operations pose downstream issues of sustainability and maintenance;
e. Government’s track record of supplying serviced sites in recent years has been less than
5,000 stands (plots) per year, compared to the nation-wide objective of Operation Garikai
to deliver 4,900 stands within a few months.
48
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