With regards to the parliamentary elections, ZANU-PF won 144 constituency based seats and were awarded 35 women’s seats on a proportional basis by province for a total of 179. This is 66.3% of the total seats in the National Assembly. The MDC Alliance won 64 constituency based seats and was awarded 24 women’s seats on a proportional basis by province. For the remaining three seats NPF and an independent candidate each won a constituency based seat while MDC-T was awarded one women’s seat on a proportional basis by province. If the three NDF, MDC-T, and independent MPs in the National Assembly all vote with the MDC Alliance MPs then together they can prevent ZANU-PF from having a two-thirds majority and being able to unilaterally changing the constitution. The MDC Alliance, however, could have performed much better in the parliamentary elections. There are 11 constituencies in which the MDC Alliance field two candidates and in three of those constituencies the two MDC Alliance candidates together received the most votes meaning that if the MDC Alliance had fielded only one candidate the party likely would have one (Bulawayo South, Goromonzi West, and Harare South). There are another 11 constituencies where ZANU-PF won less than 50% of the parliamentary vote, but one the constituency where Chamisa won the most votes in the presidential election. This suggests that if the MDC Alliance had formed more alliance with other parties and had reduced the number of parliamentary candidates that the MDC Alliance could have picked up another 11 constituency based seats. Finally, there is one constituency (Zvishavane Ngezi) where Chamisa received more votes than Mnangagwa by more than the ZANU-PF candidate beat the MDC Alliance candidate in the parliamentary election plus votes for other candidates. This calls this parliamentary result into question. Thus, it is possible that MDC Alliance could have increased its tally of constituency based seats by 15 from 64 to 79 (plus a related modest increase in women’s seats awarded on a proportional basis by province). Description of ZEC Presidential Results by Polling Station Files On Friday 03 August the Zimbabwe Electoral Commission (ZEC) provided ten electronic files containing the polling station level results for the 2018 presidential election. The files contained results for 10,985 polling stations. For each polling station the files contained: location information (province, district, constituency, local authority, ward, polling station name, polling station code), votes for each of 23 presidential candidates, rejected ballot papers, unaccounted for ballot papers, total votes cast, and total valid votes. A total of 34 pieces of information. The file do not contain information on the number of registrants, the number of ballot papers issued, the number of unused ballot papers, or the number of spoilt ballot papers for polling stations. For this analysis the results for the individual polling stations were extracted from the original files and only the polling station data itself was used. None of the aggregate figures for ward, constituency, or province were used. Only polling station results themselves. Missing Information from the ZEC Presidential Results by Polling Station Files The files should contain 373,320 pieces of information (10,980 polling stations times 34 piece of information). Actual information included in the file was 372,955 or 99.9% of expected information. In total, 365 pieces of information or 0.1% was missing.   One polling station name was missing; Three polling station results for Busha, Joseph Makamba, FreeZim Congress were missing; 2

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