The RBZ subsequently increased its rediscount rate from 28,5% to 31,5% as a way of reducing
speculative pressures on the Zimbabwe dollar. There were fears that the increase in the
rediscount rate was the first of many increases with broad expectations of the rate reaching
40% by mid 1998. The high interest rates not only made it impossible for companies that
needed money for expansion purposes but also drained away a large proportion of the working
capital of private sector employers, while interest payments severely limited employers' abilities
to keep pace with inflation.
Despite several recent missions abroad to woo foreign capital, investor interest in Zimbabwe
remained disappointing, with the country rated during 1997 as one of the lowest on the list of
emerging markets considered as investment opportunities. President Robert Mugabe spoke to
investment conferences in London and Paris. Similar missions were previously been held in
Europe, the United States, and the Far East. All were described as successes, but what did not
materialise was actual investment.
The Zimbabwe Government tried to portray the country as a serious contender for investment
capital, and took steps to attract investors. Among these was the establishment of a national
investment centre, which was praised abroad for dealing with applications. There was relaxation
of economic rules in respect of imports and exports, labour and price controls, but there was still
little investment. Economists argued that this was because of the unstable domestic economic
climate, characterised by high interest rates and inflation. Inflation was about 19 percent, while
interest rates were hovering around 30 percent.
Foreign investors voiced serious concerns which they saw as being of such great magnitude as
to override the investment advantages. At the forefront was the fear of an ever-continuing
erosion of the economy, with the attendant high inflation, declining currency values, increasing
unemployment, and negative or inadequate economic growth. Coupled with these fears were
unfulfilled Government assurances of reduced expenditure, the size of the public service, the
magnitude of the defence expenditure, and recent substantial parliamentary and civil service
salary increases. There was also concern at the level of corruption (see below).
Said economist Eric Bloch: “Zimbabwe has to address the causes of investor scepticism and
the grounds for international investment cynicism, ensuring the projected economic advances
while strenuously curbing corruption and energetically welcoming desirable, employmentcreating investment".
It was thus clear to most commentators that a situation of crisis was developing in the economy,
and that this would have effects upon the socio-economic life of the citizens. The pressures
began to mount during the second half of 1997.
The Government, already under siege from war veterans demanding hefty gratuities and
pensions, was suddenly engulfed by a crisis of expectations from all fronts: as well as the
veterans, the war collaborators and former political detainees also wanted a piece of the cake.
The huge civil service was waiting patiently for its annual bonuses at the end of the year, just
when Western donors were demanding that the Government take visible measures to cut back
on its spending if it wants aid for its reforms, already delayed by lack of funding.
In addition, the Government was under pressure from a private sector increasingly restless
about the worsening macro-economic environment, as evidenced by the sudden rise in interest
rates and a depreciating currency that threatened to nearly double the cost of imports. On the
other hand, the country's balance-of-payments position was worsening, with import cover less
than three months, at a time when reserves needed to be boosted in case the country
experienced another drought. The Government's immediate concern was to find money,
estimated at between Z$3 and Z$5 billion before Christmas 1997, to make lump sum gratuity
payouts to an estimated 50 000 ex-combatants, who had only stopped their violent nation-wide
protests earlier in the year after securing pledges for the payouts from President Robert
Mugabe (see below).