The survey results will show that Zimbabweans are, perhaps ironically, enjoying the benefits of MDC‐T’s
stabilisation of the political situation by having agreed to enter the transitional government in a position
that would be subject to ZANU‐PF dominance. The MDC‐T made some specific contributions to IG. Yet,
such credits have not been transferred into the kitty of party political endorsement and declarations to
support the party come the next round of elections. Meanwhile, the MDC‐T ‘in power’ – or with a bit of
power in reach – has suffered under accusations that local MDC‐T councillors are involved in corruption,
in effect equalising MDC‐T and ZANU‐PF.
Although violence has been simmering at a low‐level for the past couple of years, it is still there in
sufficient quantity to remind people that it can be stepped up in an instant. The ZANU‐PF military‐
political complex has honed low intensity violence to a fine art: when announcements of a pending
election in 2011 were made, violence increased – against ‘human rights defenders’, MDC supporters,
and ordinary people.
Repression is less than in mid‐2008 during the presidential run‐off ‘election’ but the memory of that is
strong. The magnitude of the 2008 electoral violence left Zimbabweans traumatised. National healing
did not happen and communities are reminded of both 2008 and subsequent incidents as the
perpetrators continue to roam villages. The political re‐education campaigns by war veterans leader
Jabulani Sibanda from 2010‐12 broad harsh reminders of an era that many Zimbabweans now hope has
passed. Operating in Gutu, Zaka and Bikita, Sibanda forced villagers to flee, threatening that 2008 was
just a ‘piece’ of what was to come, that ‘blood will flow’, and that those who sideline ZANU‐PF should
‘prepare for death’.
The military and other security forces have hardly joined the ‘détente’ that many Zimbabweans are now
imagining. Sources that are informed about security matters relate that at the same time as fieldworkers
were rolling out the survey questionnaires, senior military officers were continuing their planning on
how to take control of villages should political processes unfold that run counter to their interests. Many
villagers report that soldiers, militia or ZANU‐PF youth intimidate the communities.
ZANU‐PF’s control over print and electronic state media ensure that the party dominates in
dissemination of propaganda, and part of these media’s onslaught is against the MDC‐T and civil society.
At the same time, some MDC‐T rallies in the countryside were banned, signalling that the political space
was in fact not opening up. Rather, there had probably been a temporary contraction in scale of political
oppression in the period between electoral contests, when it was considered ‘safe’ to do so.
Some Matabeleland‐based activists in early 2010 said that the military in Zimbabwe would wait until the
MDC‐T had proved itself as pliant towards its accumulation strategies as ZANU‐PF, and then accept it as
a government in waiting. Such a process could be hastened by rumoured talks between the so‐called
moderates within ZANU‐PF and the military, and some elements of the MDC‐T, with a view to some
newform of government of national unity. Stephen Chan’s cynical words of early 2011:2 ‘some form of
coalition [is likely] for years into the Zimbabwean future’ may come to pass. His words were an attempt
2
Stephen Chan, ‘International Views of Zimbabwe’, Zimbabwe Review, Solidarity Peace Trust, January 21 2011,
http://www.solidaritypeacetrust.org/928/international‐views‐of‐zimbabwe/
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