to interpret European attitudes to Zimbabwe’s political future, but this could now be the way to
interpret the opinion of a broad mass of Zimbabwe citizens that has grown exasperated with politicians
and their promises.
Structure of the report
The rest of this interim report3 first explores the 2012 national mood in Zimbabwe and assesses how this
has changed over time. It then turns to an exploration of electoral issues and the changing trends in
support for Zimbabwe’s main political parties. The section deals with a series of themes that link to
voting and party preference. The choices that Zimbabweans make will help shape the future of
Zimbabwe, and they would have been influenced by life in the times of Inclusive Government in
Zimbabwe – the assessments to which the next section turns. Thereafter follows Zimbabweans’
expectations and experiences of elections. The report ends with the consideration of patterns of
political interest and media use.
2: THE 2012 MOOD IN ZIMBABWE – HOPE, OPTIMISM, DOUBT,
RECONSIDERATION
A substantial and persisting mood of optimism, hope and idealism characterises many of the responses
in the FH 2012 survey. Zimbabweans have not given up on hoping that the moment of turnaround will
be realizedcome the next constitution, the next referendum or the next election. However, many of the
orientations emerging from the survey reveal cynicism and doubt about leadership deals, government
and public institutions, and specifically about Inclusive Government (IG).
Despite that resilient Zimbabwean hope for a new future to be escorted in by a new constitution,
referendum and elections, it may very well be that Zimbabweans’ future has been unfolding
incrementally, and that it has been the practice of IG (section below) and ‘forced/enforced’ cooperation
and mutual accountability (with international backing) that has brought Zimbabweans to the point
where they are already living their political future. This would then have been the result of incremental
change and parties building piecemeal‐style the power relations and shared political dispensation.
Optimism, albeit often moderated,showed across a series of questions – aboutthe direction in which
Zimbabwe is seen to be moving (Q8A), views on the economy and personal economic conditions (Q9C),
the outcome of the unfolding processes of constitution, referendum and elections (Q11), views that the
next elections will be more free and fair than the preceding ones (Q50C) and that ‘this time around’
there will be nothing to fear about elections (Q52C).
3
‘Change and ‘New’ Politics in Zimbabwe’ is an interim report of the 2012 FH public opinion poll. The full report,
exploring a broader diversity of socio‐economic and political issues, will be available in September 2012.
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