another. The changes in the positions of the two main parties in terms of the declared component of the
vote – either down across the provinces in the case of the MDC‐T or up across the provinces for ZANU‐
PF – is nevertheless notable for the consistency of this pattern. The details also show the decline
between the two surveys of the small political parties
Trust in the main parties – reflection of party support
The basic thrust of declared party support is generally borne out through measures such as trust in the
political parties (Table 5). Whereas 52%of respondents indicate that they trust ZANU‐PF or trust it a lot,
the corresponding percentage for the MDC‐T only reaches 39%. The trust measure indicates that there is
substance to the party vote determinations in the survey. The MDC‐T in this survey has not only suffered
a notable decline in support, its level of popular trust has also spun downward, from 32% to 20% in
roughly 18 months.
The drop in declared support for the MDC‐T, compared with previous surveys, is a vexing issue. The dips
in MDC‐T support are illuminated when the analysis delves into perceptions in the ranks of MDC‐T
supporters themselves – this is reflected in the rest of the report.
Table 5:
Changing levels of trust in the two main political parties, 2010‐12
Extent of trust
MDC‐T (%)
ZANU‐PF (%)
2010
2012
2010
2012
A lot
32
20
16
34
Somewhat
34
19
20
18
Just a little
11
23
19
16
Not at all
9
25
34
24
Notes: Q61 (2012), ‘In the current Zimbabwe, how much do you trust …? In 2012, 6%
and 3% of the respondents stated that they do not know whether they trust the MDC‐T
and ZANU‐PF, respectively. See also Table 12.
It is important that the MDC‐T does not have the historically ingrained type of support, or the
historically legitimated ‘liberation movement’ standing, that ZANU‐PF has. Its popular standing is more
reliant on performance than that of ZANU‐PF. The latter regularly invokes the (indubitable and severe)
historical injustices to veil the scope of its own shortcomings.
Beliefs about the outcome of the next round of elections
Anticipating the prominence of non‐declaration, the questionnaire included the item of ‘Use one
sentence please to tell me what kind of place you think Zimbabwe will be after the next elections …’
20
Select target paragraph3
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